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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+0.97vs Predicted
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2Olin College of Engineering-0.65+1.92vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy0.06-0.09vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-0.14-0.81vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut-1.01-0.58vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-1.93-0.38vs Predicted
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7Williams College-4.19+0.62vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.58-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.97Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.5%1st Place
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3.92Olin College of Engineering-0.650.1%1st Place
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2.91Maine Maritime Academy0.060.2%1st Place
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3.19Middlebury College-0.140.2%1st Place
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4.42University of Connecticut-1.010.1%1st Place
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5.62University of New Hampshire-1.930.0%1st Place
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7.62Williams College-4.190.0%1st Place
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6.35University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Poirier | 46.0% | 27.5% | 14.6% | 8.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Miller | 9.2% | 12.1% | 18.0% | 21.4% | 21.8% | 12.4% | 5.0% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Dugan | 19.0% | 24.3% | 24.0% | 17.7% | 10.5% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 15.4% | 21.2% | 20.7% | 21.2% | 15.4% | 5.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Colby Brennan | 6.0% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 17.5% | 25.0% | 20.7% | 7.8% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Dube | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 9.1% | 16.0% | 30.9% | 28.7% | 4.4% |
| Jesse Cohen | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 4.3% | 10.7% | 80.8% |
| Abbey Rogers | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 7.2% | 22.1% | 46.0% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.