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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+0.97vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College-0.14+1.20vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy0.06-0.09vs Predicted
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4Olin College of Engineering-0.65-0.10vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut-1.01-0.57vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-1.93-0.38vs Predicted
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7Williams College-4.19+0.62vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.58-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.97Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.5%1st Place
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3.2Middlebury College-0.140.2%1st Place
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2.91Maine Maritime Academy0.060.2%1st Place
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3.9Olin College of Engineering-0.650.1%1st Place
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4.43University of Connecticut-1.010.1%1st Place
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5.62University of New Hampshire-1.930.0%1st Place
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7.62Williams College-4.190.0%1st Place
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6.35University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Poirier | 46.8% | 26.7% | 14.6% | 7.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 15.1% | 20.4% | 23.1% | 20.1% | 14.6% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Dugan | 19.2% | 23.8% | 24.1% | 18.0% | 10.3% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Miller | 8.9% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 22.8% | 21.2% | 12.7% | 4.6% | 0.2% |
| Colby Brennan | 5.9% | 8.2% | 14.5% | 18.2% | 24.1% | 20.5% | 8.2% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Dube | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 17.0% | 30.8% | 28.3% | 4.4% |
| Jesse Cohen | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 4.7% | 10.5% | 80.8% |
| Abbey Rogers | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 8.4% | 21.6% | 46.0% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.