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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College1.26+5.47vs Predicted
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2Princeton University2.35+1.73vs Predicted
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3Hampton University2.26+0.96vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook1.41+2.31vs Predicted
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5Columbia University1.52+0.85vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College1.44+0.14vs Predicted
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7Villanova University1.57-1.21vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32+3.09vs Predicted
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9Drexel University0.58-0.42vs Predicted
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10Ocean County College-1.00+2.89vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.68-5.55vs Predicted
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12Catholic University of America-0.34-0.76vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute-0.12-2.36vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.12-3.49vs Predicted
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15Monmouth University-0.85-2.36vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.95-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.47Washington College1.260.1%1st Place
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3.73Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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3.96Hampton University2.260.2%1st Place
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6.31SUNY Stony Brook1.410.1%1st Place
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5.85Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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6.14SUNY Maritime College1.440.1%1st Place
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5.79Villanova University1.570.1%1st Place
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11.09Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
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8.58Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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12.89Ocean County College-1.000.0%1st Place
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5.45Fordham University1.680.1%1st Place
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11.24Catholic University of America-0.340.0%1st Place
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10.64Webb Institute-0.120.0%1st Place
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10.51U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.120.0%1st Place
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12.64Monmouth University-0.850.0%1st Place
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14.7Rutgers University-1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Hart | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 20.5% | 19.6% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 18.3% | 17.2% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 6.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 9.3% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Molesky | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Gillette | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Wiggins | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 12.1% | 16.2% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 3.7% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Angelina Graham | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 18.4% | 21.1% | 17.3% |
| Thomas Cooper | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Wagner | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 4.6% |
| John Dixon | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 2.4% |
| Samuel Parsons | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 2.0% |
| Katherine Foley | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 18.0% | 20.8% | 12.7% |
| Sophia Rosahl | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 17.2% | 56.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.