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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.26+2.90vs Predicted
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2Villanova University1.57+3.73vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.58+5.60vs Predicted
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4Princeton University2.35-0.16vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College1.44+1.13vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32+5.23vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook1.41-0.72vs Predicted
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8Columbia University1.52-2.26vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.68-3.62vs Predicted
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10Ocean County College-1.00+2.92vs Predicted
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11Washington College1.26-4.36vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.12-1.40vs Predicted
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13Catholic University of America-0.34-1.78vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute-0.12-3.45vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University-1.95-0.37vs Predicted
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16Monmouth University-0.85-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9Hampton University2.260.2%1st Place
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5.73Villanova University1.570.1%1st Place
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8.6Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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3.84Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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6.13SUNY Maritime College1.440.1%1st Place
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11.23Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
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6.28SUNY Stony Brook1.410.1%1st Place
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5.74Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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5.38Fordham University1.680.1%1st Place
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12.92Ocean County College-1.000.0%1st Place
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6.64Washington College1.260.1%1st Place
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10.6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.120.0%1st Place
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11.22Catholic University of America-0.340.0%1st Place
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10.55Webb Institute-0.120.0%1st Place
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14.63Rutgers University-1.950.0%1st Place
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12.62Monmouth University-0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Taglialegne | 18.1% | 17.2% | 17.4% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Gillette | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Connor Mraz | 19.1% | 16.5% | 16.2% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Molesky | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Wiggins | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 9.6% | 5.4% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Cooper | 9.9% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Angelina Graham | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 26.0% | 14.8% |
| Paul Hart | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Parsons | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 7.5% | 2.9% |
| Grace Wagner | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 4.1% |
| John Dixon | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 1.7% |
| Sophia Rosahl | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 15.5% | 58.3% |
| Katherine Foley | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 17.6% | 20.3% | 12.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.