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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University2.35+2.56vs Predicted
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2Hampton University2.26+1.86vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College1.44+2.93vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook1.41+2.11vs Predicted
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5Villanova University0.91+2.43vs Predicted
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6Drexel University0.58+2.54vs Predicted
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7Washington College1.26-0.46vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32+2.96vs Predicted
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9Columbia University1.52-3.32vs Predicted
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10Catholic University of America-0.34+1.15vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.68-5.69vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute-0.12-1.47vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University-0.85-0.54vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.12-3.58vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University-1.95-0.39vs Predicted
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16Ocean County College-1.00-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.56Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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3.86Hampton University2.260.2%1st Place
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5.93SUNY Maritime College1.440.1%1st Place
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6.11SUNY Stony Brook1.410.1%1st Place
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7.43Villanova University0.910.0%1st Place
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8.54Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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6.54Washington College1.260.1%1st Place
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10.96Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
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5.68Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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11.15Catholic University of America-0.340.0%1st Place
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5.31Fordham University1.680.1%1st Place
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10.53Webb Institute-0.120.0%1st Place
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12.46Monmouth University-0.850.0%1st Place
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10.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.120.0%1st Place
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14.61Rutgers University-1.950.0%1st Place
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12.92Ocean County College-1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Mraz | 21.2% | 19.6% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 20.4% | 16.1% | 16.1% | 13.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Molesky | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 6.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Owen Ward | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Paul Hart | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Wiggins | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 9.8% | 3.5% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Grace Wagner | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 11.4% | 3.6% |
| Thomas Cooper | 11.8% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Dixon | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 2.6% |
| Katherine Foley | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 21.7% | 11.8% |
| Samuel Parsons | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 2.3% |
| Sophia Rosahl | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 14.6% | 59.2% |
| Angelina Graham | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 16.3% | 23.7% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.