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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan-0.43+3.45vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.68+0.73vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-0.10+0.82vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.52-1.07vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.56-2.12vs Predicted
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6Miami University-1.03-0.82vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-1.68-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.45University of Michigan-0.437.5%1st Place
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2.73Northwestern University0.6826.9%1st Place
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3.82Purdue University-0.1012.4%1st Place
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2.93Clemson University0.5222.1%1st Place
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2.88University of Wisconsin0.5624.4%1st Place
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5.18Miami University-1.034.7%1st Place
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6.0Michigan State University-1.682.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Peloquin | 7.5% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 15.7% | 21.9% | 22.6% | 10.7% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 26.9% | 23.2% | 19.9% | 15.7% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Nathanael Green | 12.4% | 14.4% | 15.9% | 17.8% | 19.9% | 14.6% | 5.1% |
| Luke Adams | 22.1% | 22.4% | 20.8% | 16.8% | 12.3% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Caden Harrison | 24.4% | 21.4% | 19.6% | 17.4% | 11.2% | 4.9% | 1.0% |
| Simon Peroulas | 4.7% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 16.0% | 29.6% | 25.1% |
| George Prokop | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 19.9% | 56.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.