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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University2.35+2.57vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook1.41+3.97vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.68+2.30vs Predicted
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4Drexel University0.58+4.60vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College1.44+0.97vs Predicted
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6Columbia University1.52-0.18vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute-0.12+3.56vs Predicted
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8Hampton University2.26-4.27vs Predicted
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9Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32+2.03vs Predicted
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10Villanova University0.91-2.47vs Predicted
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11Washington College1.26-4.54vs Predicted
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12Catholic University of America-0.34-0.94vs Predicted
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13Rutgers University-1.95+1.58vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.12-3.59vs Predicted
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15Ocean County College-1.00-2.11vs Predicted
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16Monmouth University-0.85-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.57Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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5.97SUNY Stony Brook1.410.1%1st Place
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5.3Fordham University1.680.1%1st Place
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8.6Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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5.97SUNY Maritime College1.440.1%1st Place
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5.82Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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10.56Webb Institute-0.120.0%1st Place
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3.73Hampton University2.260.2%1st Place
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11.03Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
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7.53Villanova University0.910.0%1st Place
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6.46Washington College1.260.1%1st Place
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11.06Catholic University of America-0.340.0%1st Place
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14.58Rutgers University-1.950.0%1st Place
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10.41U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.120.0%1st Place
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12.89Ocean County College-1.000.0%1st Place
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12.54Monmouth University-0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Mraz | 21.3% | 18.9% | 16.7% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Cooper | 10.4% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Aidan Molesky | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Dixon | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 7.5% | 2.9% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 20.8% | 17.1% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Wiggins | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 4.2% |
| Owen Ward | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Paul Hart | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Grace Wagner | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 4.7% |
| Sophia Rosahl | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 15.6% | 56.0% |
| Samuel Parsons | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 2.8% |
| Angelina Graham | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 16.5% | 25.4% | 15.6% |
| Katherine Foley | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 20.1% | 13.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.