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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University0.58+7.74vs Predicted
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2Columbia University1.52+3.99vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College1.44+3.26vs Predicted
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4Princeton University2.35-0.07vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-0.34+6.57vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook1.41+0.44vs Predicted
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7Washington College1.26-0.09vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology0.72+0.29vs Predicted
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9Villanova University1.57-3.12vs Predicted
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10Hampton University2.26-5.91vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.68-5.41vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.12-1.14vs Predicted
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13Rutgers University-1.95+1.70vs Predicted
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14Ocean County College-1.00-1.00vs Predicted
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15Monmouth University-0.85-2.18vs Predicted
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16Webb Institute-0.12-5.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.74Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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5.99Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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6.26SUNY Maritime College1.440.1%1st Place
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3.93Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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11.57Catholic University of America-0.340.0%1st Place
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6.44SUNY Stony Brook1.410.1%1st Place
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6.91Washington College1.260.1%1st Place
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8.29Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
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5.88Villanova University1.570.1%1st Place
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4.09Hampton University2.260.2%1st Place
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5.59Fordham University1.680.1%1st Place
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10.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.120.0%1st Place
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14.7Rutgers University-1.950.0%1st Place
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13.0Ocean County College-1.000.0%1st Place
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12.82Monmouth University-0.850.0%1st Place
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10.94Webb Institute-0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeline DelVescovo | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 8.0% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Molesky | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 20.1% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Wagner | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 5.2% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Townsend Morey | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Max Gillette | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 16.2% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Cooper | 12.0% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Parsons | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 3.7% |
| Sophia Rosahl | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 17.2% | 56.6% |
| Angelina Graham | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 13.0% | 17.4% | 23.5% | 16.3% |
| Katherine Foley | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 19.6% | 22.7% | 14.1% |
| John Dixon | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 8.9% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.