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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University0.58+7.69vs Predicted
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2Columbia University1.52+4.03vs Predicted
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3Princeton University2.35+0.87vs Predicted
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4Hampton University2.26+0.16vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College1.44+1.37vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.68-0.30vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.12+3.91vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook1.41-1.73vs Predicted
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9Washington College1.26-2.20vs Predicted
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10Villanova University1.57-4.04vs Predicted
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11Rutgers University-1.95+3.58vs Predicted
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12Stevens Institute of Technology0.72-3.57vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute-0.12-2.12vs Predicted
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14Catholic University of America-0.34-2.62vs Predicted
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15Monmouth University-0.85-2.17vs Predicted
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16Ocean County College-1.00-2.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.69Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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6.03Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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3.87Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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4.16Hampton University2.260.2%1st Place
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6.37SUNY Maritime College1.440.1%1st Place
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5.7Fordham University1.680.1%1st Place
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10.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.120.0%1st Place
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6.27SUNY Stony Brook1.410.1%1st Place
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6.8Washington College1.260.1%1st Place
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5.96Villanova University1.570.1%1st Place
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14.58Rutgers University-1.950.0%1st Place
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8.43Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
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10.88Webb Institute-0.120.0%1st Place
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11.38Catholic University of America-0.340.0%1st Place
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12.83Monmouth University-0.850.0%1st Place
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13.16Ocean County College-1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeline DelVescovo | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 20.4% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 17.9% | 15.9% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Molesky | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Cooper | 8.5% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Parsons | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 16.8% | 8.9% | 3.0% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Max Gillette | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Rosahl | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 16.3% | 57.2% |
| Townsend Morey | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| John Dixon | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 3.4% |
| Grace Wagner | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 4.8% |
| Katherine Foley | 0.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 18.7% | 23.7% | 13.3% |
| Angelina Graham | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 18.0% | 25.9% | 17.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.