Race 7A

occ-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Liliana Loosbrock 10.0% 9.2% 10.8% 9.7% 9.0% 11.5% 9.2% 7.8% 7.6% 7.4% 3.6% 2.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.3%
Thomas Cooper 10.0% 13.3% 10.7% 10.9% 10.1% 10.3% 9.5% 8.0% 6.0% 5.6% 3.3% 1.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Jeremy McCauley 7.5% 8.1% 11.7% 8.8% 7.9% 10.1% 9.7% 9.7% 10.1% 7.3% 5.2% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Luca Taglialegne 19.6% 17.0% 14.8% 13.3% 10.4% 7.9% 7.4% 4.6% 2.5% 1.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 20.6% 18.2% 13.8% 13.8% 11.5% 7.4% 6.1% 3.3% 3.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Owen Ward 4.6% 5.2% 5.1% 5.9% 7.0% 6.3% 9.6% 11.0% 9.4% 11.5% 10.6% 6.5% 5.2% 1.3% 0.8%
Paul Hart 6.9% 7.6% 8.1% 7.9% 8.9% 10.4% 9.2% 10.0% 9.9% 7.4% 6.0% 4.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
Madeline DelVescovo 3.6% 4.0% 3.1% 5.2% 6.9% 6.2% 6.2% 6.8% 9.4% 11.1% 11.4% 12.5% 7.8% 4.1% 1.7%
Townsend Morey 3.7% 3.6% 4.7% 5.8% 6.9% 7.4% 6.7% 10.0% 10.7% 11.2% 10.4% 9.3% 6.9% 2.3% 0.4%
Aidan Molesky 7.9% 7.1% 9.7% 9.6% 10.7% 9.6% 10.4% 9.7% 8.4% 6.0% 5.9% 3.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Katherine Foley 0.8% 1.4% 0.6% 1.0% 1.4% 1.3% 1.9% 3.0% 4.1% 4.7% 5.7% 9.6% 13.7% 20.3% 30.5%
Angelina Graham 0.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.8% 1.2% 1.3% 1.3% 1.7% 2.7% 2.7% 6.0% 8.1% 12.2% 23.8% 36.5%
Samuel Parsons 1.0% 1.7% 2.1% 2.5% 3.1% 3.9% 4.2% 4.2% 5.2% 8.2% 11.3% 13.7% 15.3% 14.3% 9.3%
John Dixon 1.7% 1.4% 2.2% 2.7% 2.6% 4.0% 4.6% 5.4% 6.5% 7.4% 10.6% 12.3% 15.9% 15.3% 7.4%
Grace Wagner 1.2% 1.5% 2.5% 2.1% 2.4% 2.4% 4.0% 4.8% 4.0% 7.4% 8.5% 13.5% 16.7% 16.3% 12.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.