Race 8A

occ-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Thomas Cooper 12.1% 10.7% 12.1% 10.0% 10.9% 9.6% 8.9% 9.1% 6.1% 4.7% 2.8% 1.6% 0.6% 0.8% 0.0%
Jeremy McCauley 6.7% 9.3% 11.3% 9.6% 10.0% 9.5% 9.8% 8.7% 8.9% 6.3% 4.8% 3.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Liliana Loosbrock 8.8% 10.4% 9.9% 9.5% 9.6% 10.1% 10.5% 10.0% 7.0% 6.8% 3.9% 2.2% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Paul Hart 7.0% 7.9% 6.6% 8.4% 9.4% 10.1% 9.7% 8.3% 9.8% 8.3% 6.7% 3.9% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1%
Connor Mraz 21.1% 16.8% 14.5% 14.0% 11.3% 7.5% 5.0% 4.6% 2.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Luca Taglialegne 18.7% 16.8% 15.2% 15.3% 9.7% 8.2% 7.5% 3.9% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Owen Ward 5.1% 5.9% 5.4% 5.1% 6.1% 8.9% 8.4% 11.0% 9.6% 10.5% 9.1% 7.1% 4.4% 2.9% 0.5%
Aidan Molesky 8.5% 9.4% 8.4% 10.1% 10.1% 8.2% 9.9% 9.2% 10.8% 5.4% 5.3% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Samuel Parsons 1.5% 1.5% 1.6% 2.2% 2.8% 4.1% 4.5% 4.8% 7.2% 8.2% 11.4% 14.0% 15.6% 13.3% 7.3%
Angelina Graham 0.6% 0.5% 1.1% 0.8% 1.3% 1.5% 1.6% 2.2% 3.1% 3.5% 5.4% 9.9% 12.2% 19.9% 36.4%
Madeline DelVescovo 3.8% 3.4% 4.6% 4.5% 5.2% 6.2% 8.3% 7.7% 8.6% 10.3% 11.8% 10.3% 8.2% 4.9% 2.2%
Townsend Morey 3.3% 3.1% 3.8% 5.3% 6.3% 8.0% 6.2% 9.4% 10.0% 12.2% 12.1% 8.8% 7.2% 3.6% 0.7%
John Dixon 1.0% 1.8% 2.7% 2.1% 3.0% 3.5% 3.8% 5.1% 5.8% 6.8% 10.1% 13.7% 16.7% 13.3% 10.6%
Katherine Foley 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.8% 1.9% 1.6% 2.0% 2.3% 2.8% 5.6% 6.9% 9.7% 14.0% 20.2% 29.8%
Grace Wagner 1.2% 1.5% 2.0% 2.3% 2.4% 3.0% 3.9% 3.7% 4.9% 8.7% 8.9% 11.2% 14.7% 19.3% 12.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.