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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.26+2.98vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College1.44+4.07vs Predicted
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3Princeton University2.35+0.70vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College-1.68+9.68vs Predicted
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5Villanova University1.57+0.92vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.68-0.47vs Predicted
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7Washington College1.26-0.31vs Predicted
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8Columbia University1.52-2.01vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook1.41-2.78vs Predicted
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10Stevens Institute of Technology0.72-1.64vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University-0.85+1.34vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute-0.12-1.12vs Predicted
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13Catholic University of America-0.34-1.70vs Predicted
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14Drexel University0.58-5.27vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.12-4.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.98Hampton University2.260.2%1st Place
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6.07SUNY Maritime College1.440.1%1st Place
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3.7Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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13.68Ocean County College-1.680.0%1st Place
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5.92Villanova University1.570.1%1st Place
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5.53Fordham University1.680.1%1st Place
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6.69Washington College1.260.1%1st Place
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5.99Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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6.22SUNY Stony Brook1.410.1%1st Place
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8.36Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
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12.34Monmouth University-0.850.0%1st Place
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10.88Webb Institute-0.120.0%1st Place
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11.3Catholic University of America-0.340.0%1st Place
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8.73Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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10.6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Taglialegne | 19.0% | 16.5% | 16.4% | 13.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Molesky | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 21.3% | 16.6% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| River Dixon | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 9.3% | 17.9% | 55.3% |
| Max Gillette | 8.5% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Cooper | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Townsend Morey | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Katherine Foley | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 26.2% | 22.4% |
| John Dixon | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 18.6% | 16.0% | 4.5% |
| Grace Wagner | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 10.8% | 15.5% | 18.4% | 17.1% | 9.8% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Samuel Parsons | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 17.4% | 14.2% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.