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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University0.99+3.33vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook0.79+2.99vs Predicted
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3Columbia University-0.24+5.15vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-0.42+4.85vs Predicted
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5Hampton University1.08-0.73vs Predicted
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6Princeton University0.05+1.28vs Predicted
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7Villanova University0.26-0.38vs Predicted
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8Washington College0.23-1.50vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College0.49-3.24vs Predicted
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10Ocean County College-0.60-0.65vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute-0.47-2.14vs Predicted
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12Stevens Institute of Technology-0.60-2.72vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University-1.67-0.66vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.35-2.54vs Predicted
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15Catholic University of America-1.77-2.31vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-3.41-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33Fordham University0.990.2%1st Place
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4.99SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
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8.15Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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8.85Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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4.27Hampton University1.080.2%1st Place
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7.28Princeton University0.050.1%1st Place
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6.62Villanova University0.260.1%1st Place
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6.5Washington College0.230.1%1st Place
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5.76SUNY Maritime College0.490.1%1st Place
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9.35Ocean County College-0.600.0%1st Place
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8.86Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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9.28Stevens Institute of Technology-0.600.0%1st Place
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12.34Monmouth University-1.670.0%1st Place
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11.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.350.0%1st Place
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12.69Catholic University of America-1.770.0%1st Place
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15.29Rutgers University-3.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Alfano | 17.0% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 13.7% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Abigail Proko | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 17.1% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zak Dasaro | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Aaron | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Vernon | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Clara Guarascio | 9.8% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Dunton | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Declan Gaylo | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Deutsch | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 0.6% |
| Julia Baginski | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 12.6% | 18.5% | 25.3% | 7.2% |
| Kevin Johnston | 2.0% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 17.0% | 16.8% | 4.0% |
| Chris Lukas | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 11.7% | 18.3% | 27.7% | 10.8% |
| Andrew Cater | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 11.1% | 75.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.