← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin0.56+1.90vs Predicted
-
2Clemson University0.52+0.99vs Predicted
-
3Northwestern University0.68-0.26vs Predicted
-
4Miami University-1.03+1.17vs Predicted
-
5University of Michigan-0.43-0.63vs Predicted
-
6Purdue University-0.10-2.13vs Predicted
-
7Michigan State University-1.68-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.9University of Wisconsin0.5624.1%1st Place
-
2.99Clemson University0.5220.7%1st Place
-
2.74Northwestern University0.6826.4%1st Place
-
5.17Miami University-1.035.2%1st Place
-
4.37University of Michigan-0.438.6%1st Place
-
3.87Purdue University-0.1012.6%1st Place
-
5.96Michigan State University-1.682.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caden Harrison | 24.1% | 21.1% | 20.1% | 17.6% | 10.4% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
| Luke Adams | 20.7% | 22.8% | 20.8% | 16.6% | 12.2% | 5.9% | 1.1% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 26.4% | 24.2% | 19.4% | 14.8% | 10.5% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Simon Peroulas | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 29.7% | 25.8% |
| Oliver Peloquin | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 22.7% | 20.5% | 10.5% |
| Nathanael Green | 12.6% | 12.7% | 16.4% | 18.2% | 19.2% | 15.3% | 5.6% |
| George Prokop | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 19.5% | 54.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.