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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.36+1.87vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.90+1.67vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.29+0.01vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.20-0.82vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine2.22-0.24vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.90-0.75vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.42-0.97vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University0.29-0.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.87University of Hawaii3.360.3%1st Place
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3.67Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
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3.01University of South Florida3.290.2%1st Place
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3.18College of Charleston3.200.2%1st Place
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4.76University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
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5.25Tulane University1.900.1%1st Place
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6.03University of South Florida1.420.0%1st Place
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7.24Northwestern University0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 25.4% | 22.7% | 18.7% | 15.5% | 10.3% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Emilie Mademann | 15.0% | 16.1% | 16.9% | 17.2% | 16.5% | 11.5% | 6.1% | 0.7% |
| Abby Featherstone | 23.2% | 19.8% | 21.4% | 15.7% | 11.1% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Grace Lucas | 20.1% | 22.0% | 16.9% | 16.0% | 14.7% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Ashley Hobson | 6.7% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 18.4% | 22.5% | 15.3% | 3.6% |
| Mackenzie Milne | 5.7% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 21.7% | 21.8% | 9.1% |
| Casey Bowles-Jenner | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 19.1% | 30.9% | 21.1% |
| Sarah Hughes | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 6.7% | 18.9% | 64.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.