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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook0.79+3.89vs Predicted
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2Fordham University0.99+2.46vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-0.42+5.73vs Predicted
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4Villanova University0.26+2.70vs Predicted
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5Columbia University-0.24+3.18vs Predicted
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6Hampton University1.08-1.69vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University-1.67+5.35vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute-0.47+0.76vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College0.49-3.17vs Predicted
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10Catholic University of America-1.77+2.67vs Predicted
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11Princeton University0.05-3.82vs Predicted
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12Washington College0.23-5.37vs Predicted
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13Ocean County College-0.60-3.77vs Predicted
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14Stevens Institute of Technology-0.60-4.86vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.35-3.34vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-3.41-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.89SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
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4.46Fordham University0.990.2%1st Place
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8.73Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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6.7Villanova University0.260.1%1st Place
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8.18Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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4.31Hampton University1.080.2%1st Place
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12.35Monmouth University-1.670.0%1st Place
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8.76Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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5.83SUNY Maritime College0.490.1%1st Place
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12.67Catholic University of America-1.770.0%1st Place
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7.18Princeton University0.050.1%1st Place
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6.63Washington College0.230.1%1st Place
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9.23Ocean County College-0.600.0%1st Place
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9.14Stevens Institute of Technology-0.600.0%1st Place
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11.66U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.350.0%1st Place
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15.27Rutgers University-3.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Gilmore III | 13.8% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Alfano | 16.6% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Proko | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Curtis Aaron | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 17.1% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Baginski | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 12.0% | 17.9% | 26.3% | 8.4% |
| Declan Gaylo | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Clara Guarascio | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chris Lukas | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 17.6% | 28.4% | 10.8% |
| Zak Dasaro | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Vernon | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Luke Dunton | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Deutsch | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Kevin Johnston | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 17.8% | 17.6% | 4.2% |
| Andrew Cater | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 11.2% | 74.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.