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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute-0.47+7.72vs Predicted
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2Fordham University0.99+2.36vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook0.79+1.90vs Predicted
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4Hampton University1.08+0.26vs Predicted
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5Columbia University-0.24+3.24vs Predicted
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6Villanova University0.26+0.59vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-1.24+4.34vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College0.49-2.28vs Predicted
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9Stevens Institute of Technology-0.60+0.24vs Predicted
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10Catholic University of America-0.38-1.35vs Predicted
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11Washington College0.23-4.36vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University-1.67+0.39vs Predicted
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13Ocean County College-0.60-3.69vs Predicted
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14Drexel University-0.42-5.41vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.35-3.26vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-3.41-0.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.72Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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4.36Fordham University0.990.2%1st Place
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4.9SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
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4.26Hampton University1.080.2%1st Place
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8.24Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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6.59Villanova University0.260.1%1st Place
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11.34Princeton University-1.240.0%1st Place
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5.72SUNY Maritime College0.490.1%1st Place
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9.24Stevens Institute of Technology-0.600.0%1st Place
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8.65Catholic University of America-0.380.0%1st Place
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6.64Washington College0.230.1%1st Place
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12.39Monmouth University-1.670.0%1st Place
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9.31Ocean County College-0.600.0%1st Place
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8.59Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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11.74U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.350.0%1st Place
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15.31Rutgers University-3.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Gaylo | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Alfano | 17.4% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 13.6% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 16.9% | 16.3% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Curtis Aaron | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Flynn | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 16.2% | 17.8% | 4.4% |
| Clara Guarascio | 10.4% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Deutsch | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 1.0% |
| Alex Walters | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Vernon | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Julia Baginski | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 16.8% | 26.4% | 10.2% |
| Luke Dunton | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 1.3% |
| Abigail Proko | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Kevin Johnston | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 17.1% | 20.5% | 5.0% |
| Andrew Cater | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 11.1% | 76.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.