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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University-0.24+6.98vs Predicted
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2Fordham University0.99+2.38vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College0.49+2.83vs Predicted
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4Hampton University1.08+0.29vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook0.79-0.07vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-1.67+6.44vs Predicted
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7Villanova University0.26-0.45vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-0.42+0.59vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-1.24+2.24vs Predicted
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10Stevens Institute of Technology-0.60-0.59vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute-0.47-2.14vs Predicted
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12Catholic University of America-0.38-3.33vs Predicted
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13Washington College0.23-6.44vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.35-2.49vs Predicted
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15Ocean County College-0.60-5.56vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-3.41-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.98Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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4.38Fordham University0.990.2%1st Place
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5.83SUNY Maritime College0.490.1%1st Place
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4.29Hampton University1.080.2%1st Place
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4.93SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
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12.44Monmouth University-1.670.0%1st Place
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6.55Villanova University0.260.1%1st Place
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8.59Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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11.24Princeton University-1.240.0%1st Place
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9.41Stevens Institute of Technology-0.600.0%1st Place
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8.86Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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8.67Catholic University of America-0.380.0%1st Place
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6.56Washington College0.230.1%1st Place
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11.51U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.350.0%1st Place
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9.44Ocean County College-0.600.0%1st Place
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15.32Rutgers University-3.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabel De La Torre | 3.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Alfano | 18.0% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clara Guarascio | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 16.3% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 12.8% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Baginski | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 17.1% | 27.7% | 9.5% |
| Curtis Aaron | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Proko | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 0.3% |
| Charlie Flynn | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 4.7% |
| Andrew Deutsch | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 1.1% |
| Declan Gaylo | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Alex Walters | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Vernon | 7.1% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Johnston | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 13.8% | 16.0% | 18.7% | 4.7% |
| Luke Dunton | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Cater | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 10.6% | 77.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.