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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.08+3.15vs Predicted
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2Fordham University0.99+2.44vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook0.90+1.67vs Predicted
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4Columbia University-0.24+4.26vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College-0.87+5.19vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-1.67+6.45vs Predicted
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7Drexel University-0.42+1.81vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College0.49-2.27vs Predicted
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9Stevens Institute of Technology-0.60+0.27vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-0.18-2.01vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute-0.47-2.10vs Predicted
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12Villanova University0.26-5.44vs Predicted
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13Washington College0.23-6.46vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.90-3.90vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University-3.41+0.21vs Predicted
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16Catholic University of America-1.77-3.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.15Hampton University1.080.2%1st Place
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4.44Fordham University0.990.2%1st Place
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4.67SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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8.26Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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10.19Ocean County College-0.870.0%1st Place
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12.45Monmouth University-1.670.0%1st Place
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8.81Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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5.73SUNY Maritime College0.490.1%1st Place
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9.27Stevens Institute of Technology-0.600.0%1st Place
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7.99Princeton University-0.180.1%1st Place
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8.9Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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6.56Villanova University0.260.1%1st Place
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6.54Washington College0.230.1%1st Place
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10.1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
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15.21Rutgers University-3.410.0%1st Place
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12.73Catholic University of America-1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Stevanovic | 17.8% | 16.7% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Alfano | 16.7% | 15.6% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 14.5% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Loring Dunton | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 0.5% |
| Julia Baginski | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 16.9% | 26.6% | 9.0% |
| Abigail Proko | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Clara Guarascio | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Deutsch | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 0.7% |
| Connor Larson | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Declan Gaylo | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Curtis Aaron | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Vernon | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Butler | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Cater | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 10.1% | 76.5% |
| Chris Lukas | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 18.4% | 28.4% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.