← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hampton University1.08+3.23vs Predicted
-
2SUNY Stony Brook0.90+2.63vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University0.99+1.45vs Predicted
-
4Drexel University-0.42+4.98vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Maritime College0.49+1.10vs Predicted
-
6Catholic University of America-0.38+2.91vs Predicted
-
7Washington College0.23-0.22vs Predicted
-
8Villanova University0.26-1.23vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.90+1.52vs Predicted
-
10Princeton University-0.18-1.74vs Predicted
-
11Stevens Institute of Technology-0.60-1.43vs Predicted
-
12Ocean County College-0.87-1.33vs Predicted
-
13Webb Institute-0.47-3.65vs Predicted
-
14Columbia University-0.24-5.69vs Predicted
-
15Monmouth University-1.67-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.23Hampton University1.080.2%1st Place
-
4.63SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
-
4.45Fordham University0.990.2%1st Place
-
8.98Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
-
6.1SUNY Maritime College0.490.1%1st Place
-
8.91Catholic University of America-0.380.0%1st Place
-
6.78Washington College0.230.1%1st Place
-
6.77Villanova University0.260.1%1st Place
-
10.52U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
-
8.26Princeton University-0.180.0%1st Place
-
9.57Stevens Institute of Technology-0.600.0%1st Place
-
10.67Ocean County College-0.870.0%1st Place
-
9.35Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
-
8.31Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
-
12.47Monmouth University-1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Stevanovic | 17.5% | 17.4% | 15.5% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 14.8% | 16.3% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Alfano | 16.0% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Proko | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 5.1% |
| Clara Guarascio | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Alex Walters | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 3.2% |
| Andrew Vernon | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Curtis Aaron | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Tyler Butler | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 16.3% | 10.8% |
| Connor Larson | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% |
| Andrew Deutsch | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 8.9% |
| Loring Dunton | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 15.9% | 13.7% |
| Declan Gaylo | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 2.6% |
| Julia Baginski | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 14.7% | 42.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.