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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook0.90+3.74vs Predicted
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2Hampton University1.08+2.35vs Predicted
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3Fordham University0.99+1.58vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.18+4.37vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College0.49+1.09vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology-0.60+3.76vs Predicted
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7Columbia University-0.24+1.57vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-0.42+0.95vs Predicted
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9Ocean County College-0.87+1.48vs Predicted
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10Catholic University of America-0.38-0.95vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute-0.47-1.77vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.90-1.40vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University-1.67-0.21vs Predicted
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14Washington College0.23-7.24vs Predicted
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15Villanova University0.26-8.13vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy-2.71-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.74SUNY Stony Brook0.900.2%1st Place
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4.35Hampton University1.080.2%1st Place
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4.58Fordham University0.990.2%1st Place
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8.37Princeton University-0.180.0%1st Place
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6.09SUNY Maritime College0.490.1%1st Place
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9.76Stevens Institute of Technology-0.600.0%1st Place
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8.57Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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8.95Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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10.48Ocean County College-0.870.0%1st Place
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9.05Catholic University of America-0.380.0%1st Place
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9.23Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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10.6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
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12.79Monmouth University-1.670.0%1st Place
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6.76Washington College0.230.1%1st Place
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6.87Villanova University0.260.1%1st Place
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14.82U. S. Military Academy-2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Manfredi | 15.2% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 17.8% | 15.9% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Alfano | 15.2% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Larson | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| Clara Guarascio | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Deutsch | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 3.1% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Abigail Proko | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Loring Dunton | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 4.2% |
| Alex Walters | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Declan Gaylo | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 1.4% |
| Tyler Butler | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 5.2% |
| Julia Baginski | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 27.5% | 17.9% |
| Andrew Vernon | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Curtis Aaron | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Clara Bartram | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 15.6% | 64.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.