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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook0.90+3.64vs Predicted
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2Fordham University0.99+2.34vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College0.49+2.90vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.18+4.07vs Predicted
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5Hampton University1.08-0.66vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-0.42+2.90vs Predicted
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7Villanova University0.26-0.35vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-1.67+4.47vs Predicted
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9Columbia University-0.24-0.75vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute-0.47-0.85vs Predicted
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11Catholic University of America-0.38-2.21vs Predicted
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12Washington College0.23-5.04vs Predicted
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13Stevens Institute of Technology-0.60-3.35vs Predicted
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14Ocean County College-0.87-3.71vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.35-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.64SUNY Stony Brook0.900.2%1st Place
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4.34Fordham University0.990.2%1st Place
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5.9SUNY Maritime College0.490.1%1st Place
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8.07Princeton University-0.180.0%1st Place
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4.34Hampton University1.080.2%1st Place
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8.9Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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6.65Villanova University0.260.1%1st Place
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12.47Monmouth University-1.670.0%1st Place
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8.25Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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9.15Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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8.79Catholic University of America-0.380.0%1st Place
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6.96Washington College0.230.1%1st Place
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9.65Stevens Institute of Technology-0.600.0%1st Place
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10.29Ocean County College-0.870.0%1st Place
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11.61U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Manfredi | 16.1% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Alfano | 17.0% | 16.5% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clara Guarascio | 8.8% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Connor Larson | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 16.5% | 15.9% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Proko | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 3.6% |
| Curtis Aaron | 9.3% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Julia Baginski | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 16.9% | 39.8% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Declan Gaylo | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 4.7% |
| Alex Walters | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 4.7% |
| Andrew Vernon | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Deutsch | 2.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 6.7% |
| Loring Dunton | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 11.1% |
| Kevin Johnston | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 20.4% | 23.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.