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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook0.90+3.69vs Predicted
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2Fordham University0.99+2.35vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.08+1.21vs Predicted
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4Villanova University0.26+2.62vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College0.49+1.04vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.18+2.13vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-0.38+1.65vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-0.42+0.88vs Predicted
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9Stevens Institute of Technology-0.60+0.45vs Predicted
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10Washington College0.23-3.17vs Predicted
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11Columbia University-0.24-2.67vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University-1.67+0.69vs Predicted
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13Ocean County College-0.87-2.49vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute-0.47-4.96vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.35-3.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.69SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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4.35Fordham University0.990.2%1st Place
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4.21Hampton University1.080.2%1st Place
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6.62Villanova University0.260.1%1st Place
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6.04SUNY Maritime College0.490.1%1st Place
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8.13Princeton University-0.180.0%1st Place
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8.65Catholic University of America-0.380.0%1st Place
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8.88Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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9.45Stevens Institute of Technology-0.600.0%1st Place
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6.83Washington College0.230.1%1st Place
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8.33Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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12.69Monmouth University-1.670.0%1st Place
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10.51Ocean County College-0.870.0%1st Place
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9.04Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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11.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Manfredi | 14.7% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Alfano | 16.5% | 17.0% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 17.7% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Aaron | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Clara Guarascio | 9.5% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Connor Larson | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Alex Walters | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% |
| Abigail Proko | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 4.3% |
| Andrew Deutsch | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 5.1% |
| Andrew Vernon | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% |
| Julia Baginski | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 18.2% | 39.9% |
| Loring Dunton | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 12.3% |
| Declan Gaylo | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 4.2% |
| Kevin Johnston | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 21.2% | 23.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.