Race 11B

occ-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Filip Stevanovic 17.9% 17.4% 14.7% 11.4% 11.4% 8.1% 6.8% 4.7% 3.5% 1.4% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Andrew Vernon 7.2% 8.7% 8.8% 9.0% 9.2% 9.9% 10.1% 7.2% 9.6% 6.1% 5.3% 4.8% 2.4% 1.6% 0.1%
Matthew Alfano 16.9% 14.8% 13.2% 11.9% 12.9% 9.4% 7.4% 6.1% 3.4% 2.4% 0.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Manfredi 14.5% 15.2% 12.7% 10.9% 10.9% 10.3% 8.4% 6.4% 4.9% 3.1% 1.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Connor Larson 5.3% 5.4% 7.4% 5.2% 5.4% 7.5% 7.2% 9.1% 9.5% 10.7% 8.8% 7.5% 6.2% 3.3% 1.5%
Abigail Proko 4.3% 3.7% 3.7% 6.4% 4.4% 5.8% 7.5% 8.1% 10.5% 9.2% 11.9% 9.4% 8.2% 5.6% 1.3%
Clara Guarascio 10.6% 8.4% 10.2% 11.0% 10.0% 10.6% 9.8% 8.8% 5.9% 5.3% 5.0% 2.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Curtis Aaron 7.7% 7.9% 9.1% 9.4% 8.6% 9.2% 8.5% 8.4% 8.5% 8.1% 6.0% 5.3% 2.3% 0.7% 0.3%
Declan Gaylo 3.0% 3.5% 4.3% 5.5% 5.8% 7.7% 7.0% 8.3% 8.7% 9.1% 11.1% 11.0% 7.1% 5.6% 2.3%
Julia Baginski 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.5% 1.7% 1.2% 2.8% 3.9% 3.4% 6.2% 5.1% 9.8% 12.2% 20.4% 28.2%
Andrew Deutsch 2.9% 3.5% 4.0% 4.7% 5.5% 4.8% 6.2% 8.0% 8.3% 9.6% 8.5% 9.5% 10.8% 8.2% 5.5%
Chris Lukas 1.4% 0.5% 1.1% 1.0% 1.1% 1.1% 1.9% 2.9% 3.5% 3.8% 6.1% 7.8% 12.2% 21.3% 34.3%
Isabel De La Torre 3.9% 5.1% 4.8% 5.9% 6.1% 7.4% 7.2% 7.8% 8.1% 11.8% 9.6% 8.7% 6.3% 5.6% 1.7%
Loring Dunton 1.9% 2.9% 3.0% 2.9% 4.7% 4.4% 5.6% 6.4% 7.1% 7.2% 10.3% 11.6% 14.9% 10.2% 6.9%
Kevin Johnston 1.3% 1.8% 1.8% 3.3% 2.3% 2.6% 3.6% 3.9% 5.1% 6.0% 8.6% 9.8% 15.6% 16.4% 17.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.