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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.71+4.75vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.97+3.72vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.85+3.77vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.17+0.84vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.84+0.70vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.15+1.72vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.01+1.50vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+1.16vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.24+2.27vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+0.27vs Predicted
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11Boston College-0.06+0.89vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University0.49-1.22vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32-2.48vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.22-5.07vs Predicted
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15Boston University-0.48-1.75vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-8.46vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island-0.93-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.75Dartmouth College1.7111.3%1st Place
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5.72Roger Williams University1.9710.2%1st Place
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6.77Brown University1.859.4%1st Place
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4.84Harvard University2.1715.2%1st Place
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5.7Bowdoin College1.8411.3%1st Place
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7.72Tufts University1.156.7%1st Place
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8.5Tufts University1.015.7%1st Place
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9.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.854.3%1st Place
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11.27University of Vermont0.242.9%1st Place
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10.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.753.4%1st Place
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11.89Boston College-0.062.1%1st Place
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10.78Roger Williams University0.493.1%1st Place
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10.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.323.2%1st Place
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8.93Northeastern University1.223.8%1st Place
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13.25Boston University-0.481.5%1st Place
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7.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.815.1%1st Place
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14.38University of Rhode Island-0.930.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bella casaretto | 11.3% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 10.2% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Laura Hamilton | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 15.2% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 6.5% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 3.5% |
| Kate Joslin | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 10.8% |
| Katherine McGagh | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 5.1% |
| Caroline Odell | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 4.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Sage Andrews | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 18.7% | 23.8% |
| Emma Wang | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Erin Little | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 17.6% | 41.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.