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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College-0.70+2.97vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College0.03+1.12vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.02+0.10vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.03-0.86vs Predicted
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5McGill University-1.05-0.18vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.38-1.97vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-1.69-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.97Bates College-0.7012.6%1st Place
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3.12Middlebury College0.0321.4%1st Place
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3.1University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.0221.9%1st Place
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3.14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.0322.0%1st Place
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4.82McGill University-1.056.9%1st Place
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4.03University of New Hampshire-0.3811.9%1st Place
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5.82Amherst College-1.693.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colby Green | 12.6% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 17.2% | 9.4% |
| Walter Chiles | 21.4% | 19.5% | 19.2% | 17.3% | 13.4% | 6.9% | 2.4% |
| William Delong | 21.9% | 20.9% | 18.2% | 16.2% | 12.6% | 7.4% | 2.8% |
| Luke Kenahan | 22.0% | 19.9% | 17.8% | 16.0% | 13.3% | 8.6% | 2.5% |
| Cecilia Muller | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 16.2% | 24.7% | 21.8% |
| Sean Lund | 11.9% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 16.6% | 19.2% | 16.2% | 9.2% |
| Adrian Whitney | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 19.0% | 51.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.