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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.36+1.86vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.20+1.18vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.29+0.06vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine2.22+0.80vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.90-1.33vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.90-0.76vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University0.29+0.26vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.42-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86University of Hawaii3.360.3%1st Place
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3.18College of Charleston3.200.2%1st Place
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3.06University of South Florida3.290.2%1st Place
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4.8University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
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3.67Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
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5.24Tulane University1.900.1%1st Place
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7.26Northwestern University0.290.0%1st Place
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5.93University of South Florida1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 26.1% | 22.2% | 19.6% | 14.6% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Grace Lucas | 20.0% | 20.3% | 18.8% | 17.5% | 13.0% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Abby Featherstone | 22.6% | 19.8% | 19.9% | 17.4% | 11.0% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Ashley Hobson | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 18.6% | 19.9% | 17.9% | 4.3% |
| Emilie Mademann | 13.9% | 17.3% | 17.6% | 16.6% | 15.1% | 13.1% | 5.6% | 0.8% |
| Mackenzie Milne | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 15.9% | 21.9% | 22.1% | 8.7% |
| Sarah Hughes | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 15.7% | 67.9% |
| Casey Bowles-Jenner | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 13.2% | 20.2% | 31.0% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.