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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University0.99+3.33vs Predicted
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2Hampton University1.08+2.01vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.18+4.75vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College0.49+1.75vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-0.42+3.60vs Predicted
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6Villanova University0.26+0.44vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-1.77+5.25vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology-0.60+1.15vs Predicted
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9Washington College0.23-2.58vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook0.90-5.35vs Predicted
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11Ocean County College-0.87-0.98vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University-1.67+0.41vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute-0.47-4.07vs Predicted
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14Columbia University-0.24-5.99vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.35-3.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33Fordham University0.990.2%1st Place
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4.01Hampton University1.080.2%1st Place
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7.75Princeton University-0.180.1%1st Place
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5.75SUNY Maritime College0.490.1%1st Place
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8.6Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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6.44Villanova University0.260.1%1st Place
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12.25Catholic University of America-1.770.0%1st Place
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9.15Stevens Institute of Technology-0.600.0%1st Place
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6.42Washington College0.230.1%1st Place
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4.65SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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10.02Ocean County College-0.870.0%1st Place
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12.41Monmouth University-1.670.0%1st Place
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8.93Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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8.01Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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11.27U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Alfano | 16.4% | 16.2% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 19.4% | 17.6% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Larson | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Clara Guarascio | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Abigail Proko | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.0% |
| Curtis Aaron | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Chris Lukas | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 19.4% | 32.3% |
| Andrew Deutsch | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 7.1% | 3.8% |
| Andrew Vernon | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 13.9% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Loring Dunton | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 7.7% |
| Julia Baginski | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 19.4% | 31.4% |
| Declan Gaylo | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Kevin Johnston | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 14.5% | 19.3% | 16.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.