Race 1A

saisa-co-ed-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Augie Dale 33.9% 24.7% 16.2% 12.6% 6.1% 2.9% 2.5% 0.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Marina Barzaghi 5.8% 8.1% 10.2% 9.5% 10.6% 10.9% 10.6% 12.1% 9.9% 7.4% 3.7% 1.2%
Karl Rasmus Sayre 13.8% 11.1% 13.2% 12.3% 12.6% 12.5% 10.3% 6.5% 4.2% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1%
Jack Gower 8.6% 12.6% 10.5% 13.4% 11.5% 12.2% 10.5% 8.0% 5.8% 5.1% 1.0% 0.8%
Richard McCann 5.9% 8.2% 7.4% 9.7% 10.7% 11.2% 8.8% 12.1% 10.4% 8.1% 5.8% 1.7%
TJ Danilek 7.6% 7.4% 8.6% 8.2% 10.0% 11.9% 11.6% 11.6% 8.6% 8.1% 5.3% 1.1%
Brandon Kirby 5.0% 4.4% 7.0% 7.2% 9.3% 7.9% 10.9% 10.9% 12.5% 11.9% 8.7% 4.3%
Jeffrey Hayden 5.2% 5.1% 5.8% 6.9% 7.2% 8.5% 11.4% 10.6% 12.4% 13.2% 9.4% 4.3%
Scott Harris 9.6% 12.1% 14.3% 13.0% 12.0% 11.6% 8.3% 8.6% 6.7% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
Darby Reddaway 1.5% 2.9% 2.5% 2.6% 3.6% 4.1% 5.0% 7.1% 9.4% 14.9% 19.9% 26.5%
Sarah DeLoach 1.7% 1.8% 1.6% 2.2% 3.8% 4.4% 5.5% 5.9% 9.7% 14.3% 22.6% 26.5%
Alex Jones 1.4% 1.6% 2.7% 2.4% 2.6% 1.9% 4.6% 6.2% 9.8% 11.7% 21.9% 33.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.