Race 2A

saisa-co-ed-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Augie Dale 33.6% 23.8% 18.2% 10.1% 6.8% 4.0% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeffrey Hayden 3.8% 5.0% 4.5% 8.0% 9.0% 9.2% 7.7% 13.4% 12.4% 13.8% 9.3% 3.9%
Marina Barzaghi 8.0% 6.9% 9.2% 8.1% 11.0% 10.2% 12.2% 11.8% 10.3% 7.6% 3.5% 1.2%
Brandon Kirby 3.6% 5.5% 5.0% 7.6% 9.8% 9.2% 10.7% 10.5% 11.5% 11.3% 11.6% 3.7%
Karl Rasmus Sayre 12.1% 12.4% 16.1% 12.8% 10.6% 11.4% 9.1% 5.6% 5.0% 3.5% 1.3% 0.1%
Jack Gower 10.7% 10.9% 11.3% 12.0% 12.6% 11.1% 11.2% 8.0% 6.5% 3.5% 1.8% 0.4%
Scott Harris 10.8% 12.8% 10.7% 12.9% 11.7% 10.6% 11.4% 7.3% 5.7% 3.8% 1.6% 0.7%
Richard McCann 6.3% 9.3% 7.9% 8.8% 9.2% 10.8% 11.7% 10.2% 10.6% 8.0% 4.7% 2.5%
TJ Danilek 6.6% 6.7% 10.6% 11.9% 11.0% 11.3% 9.8% 11.5% 10.5% 6.4% 3.0% 0.7%
Darby Reddaway 1.5% 2.5% 2.8% 2.9% 2.7% 5.1% 4.2% 7.5% 8.8% 14.8% 20.8% 26.4%
Alex Jones 1.7% 1.3% 1.4% 2.1% 2.6% 4.4% 4.4% 5.7% 8.6% 13.0% 22.0% 32.8%
Sarah DeLoach 1.3% 2.9% 2.3% 2.8% 3.0% 2.7% 5.6% 7.4% 9.7% 14.3% 20.4% 27.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.