Race 3A

saisa-co-ed-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Augie Dale 33.6% 25.1% 15.8% 11.0% 6.7% 4.0% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Karl Rasmus Sayre 10.9% 13.9% 13.7% 13.8% 12.5% 10.5% 9.7% 7.6% 3.6% 2.5% 1.3% 0.0%
Marina Barzaghi 8.1% 7.0% 10.0% 8.1% 10.5% 9.7% 12.2% 11.3% 11.5% 6.8% 3.6% 1.2%
Jeffrey Hayden 3.5% 4.2% 5.6% 7.8% 8.6% 9.3% 11.2% 11.3% 11.0% 12.2% 10.7% 4.6%
TJ Danilek 6.4% 8.4% 7.9% 10.0% 10.6% 11.1% 11.3% 11.0% 9.4% 8.1% 4.1% 1.7%
Brandon Kirby 4.9% 4.8% 6.1% 7.5% 6.9% 10.6% 8.9% 11.4% 13.0% 13.3% 9.0% 3.6%
Richard McCann 6.6% 7.9% 8.9% 9.8% 10.3% 9.7% 10.7% 10.6% 11.9% 7.7% 4.1% 1.8%
Jack Gower 11.5% 11.7% 11.6% 11.5% 12.2% 10.1% 10.4% 8.4% 6.0% 4.5% 1.5% 0.6%
Scott Harris 9.5% 11.4% 13.4% 13.1% 13.9% 11.3% 8.9% 7.9% 5.8% 3.8% 0.5% 0.5%
Darby Reddaway 1.8% 1.8% 3.2% 2.4% 3.3% 4.6% 5.2% 6.2% 8.3% 15.9% 21.2% 26.1%
Alex Jones 1.7% 1.4% 1.2% 2.5% 2.1% 5.2% 3.6% 6.1% 9.3% 11.7% 22.9% 32.3%
Sarah DeLoach 1.5% 2.4% 2.6% 2.5% 2.4% 3.9% 5.3% 7.3% 10.0% 13.4% 21.1% 27.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.