Race 4A

saisa-co-ed-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Augie Dale 34.8% 24.9% 15.7% 10.3% 6.8% 3.6% 2.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Gower 9.1% 11.9% 13.3% 11.5% 12.4% 11.0% 9.6% 8.4% 6.4% 4.6% 1.7% 0.1%
Marina Barzaghi 7.9% 7.7% 8.7% 9.1% 9.5% 12.0% 10.5% 11.1% 11.7% 5.9% 4.0% 1.9%
Karl Rasmus Sayre 10.4% 15.2% 12.9% 14.5% 10.3% 10.9% 9.4% 7.6% 5.8% 1.8% 0.7% 0.5%
TJ Danilek 6.7% 8.0% 8.9% 9.5% 11.6% 9.8% 10.9% 10.0% 9.8% 8.3% 4.6% 1.9%
Scott Harris 11.3% 10.7% 10.7% 11.5% 12.5% 12.9% 9.8% 9.4% 5.1% 4.6% 1.2% 0.3%
Jeffrey Hayden 5.2% 4.9% 5.1% 8.2% 8.7% 8.4% 10.1% 10.4% 12.5% 12.5% 9.3% 4.7%
Sarah DeLoach 1.6% 2.2% 3.3% 2.8% 3.5% 4.8% 4.9% 7.5% 7.9% 14.3% 21.3% 25.9%
Richard McCann 5.7% 6.0% 9.4% 10.3% 13.5% 9.1% 13.0% 10.2% 9.3% 8.2% 4.2% 1.1%
Darby Reddaway 1.6% 2.5% 2.7% 3.2% 2.6% 4.4% 5.7% 6.8% 9.3% 13.5% 22.5% 25.2%
Brandon Kirby 4.3% 4.2% 6.8% 6.9% 6.3% 10.2% 9.4% 12.0% 12.3% 12.7% 9.8% 5.1%
Alex Jones 1.4% 1.8% 2.5% 2.2% 2.3% 2.9% 4.5% 5.2% 9.6% 13.6% 20.7% 33.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.