Race 5A

saisa-co-ed-champs

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Alfonso Garcia Bringas 25.4% 20.5% 17.3% 13.1% 10.4% 5.9% 4.1% 2.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Brandon Kirby 4.2% 4.4% 7.3% 6.4% 8.2% 11.0% 10.1% 13.0% 13.2% 11.5% 8.4% 2.3%
Jack Brown 21.8% 17.1% 16.6% 15.3% 10.9% 9.6% 4.3% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Mackey Leventis 2.7% 2.7% 3.3% 4.0% 6.9% 7.1% 9.7% 11.0% 13.3% 14.5% 14.4% 10.4%
TJ Danilek 5.9% 9.2% 7.6% 10.5% 11.2% 10.9% 11.6% 10.8% 9.4% 7.3% 4.0% 1.6%
Jeffrey Hayden 4.4% 4.8% 6.0% 6.5% 8.1% 8.6% 11.4% 12.0% 14.7% 11.6% 8.1% 3.8%
Karl Rasmus Sayre 12.8% 15.0% 12.0% 13.1% 13.6% 11.8% 8.4% 6.7% 3.5% 2.1% 0.7% 0.3%
Marina Barzaghi 8.1% 8.0% 9.6% 9.2% 9.9% 12.0% 11.6% 11.2% 8.4% 7.2% 2.7% 2.1%
Scott Harris 10.0% 12.0% 12.8% 13.6% 12.2% 11.9% 9.7% 8.3% 5.7% 2.8% 0.7% 0.3%
Leah Harper 1.7% 2.2% 3.1% 2.6% 2.7% 3.9% 5.7% 7.2% 9.5% 15.0% 18.7% 27.7%
William Smith 1.7% 1.5% 2.0% 3.4% 3.3% 3.8% 6.9% 7.2% 10.2% 14.2% 21.4% 24.4%
Darby Reddaway 1.3% 2.6% 2.4% 2.3% 2.6% 3.5% 6.5% 7.8% 9.9% 13.2% 20.8% 27.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.