← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.23+2.48vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University3.43+1.10vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida2.16+2.91vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University2.54+0.93vs Predicted
-
5University of South Carolina1.25+3.16vs Predicted
-
6Florida State University1.69+1.12vs Predicted
-
7University of Florida1.73-0.19vs Predicted
-
8University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.77+1.12vs Predicted
-
9University of Miami0.67+0.41vs Predicted
-
10Clemson University2.14-4.08vs Predicted
-
11Eckerd College2.72-6.35vs Predicted
-
12Georgia Institute of Technology0.72-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.48College of Charleston3.230.2%1st Place
-
3.1Jacksonville University3.430.3%1st Place
-
5.91University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
-
4.93North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
-
8.16University of South Carolina1.250.0%1st Place
-
7.12Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
-
6.81University of Florida1.730.1%1st Place
-
9.12University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.770.0%1st Place
-
9.41University of Miami0.670.0%1st Place
-
5.92Clemson University2.140.1%1st Place
-
4.65Eckerd College2.720.1%1st Place
-
9.38Georgia Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Brown | 20.9% | 18.3% | 17.2% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 25.6% | 22.5% | 15.7% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% |
| Scott Harris | 9.6% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Mackey Leventis | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 12.9% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 3.5% |
| Brandon Kirby | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 3.8% |
| William Smith | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 18.6% | 24.6% |
| Leah Harper | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 14.9% | 19.2% | 26.4% |
| TJ Danilek | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 12.4% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Darby Reddaway | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 15.6% | 21.1% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.