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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Telmo Basterra 14.7% 13.3% 14.4% 15.0% 14.8% 9.8% 6.5% 5.5% 3.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
Steven Leuck 30.1% 24.3% 17.3% 11.0% 7.7% 5.5% 2.8% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Turigliatto 11.7% 11.3% 14.6% 11.2% 12.6% 13.1% 9.6% 7.3% 5.1% 2.2% 0.8% 0.5%
Mitchell Powell 4.3% 4.9% 6.2% 7.9% 10.2% 9.0% 12.2% 10.5% 12.5% 9.7% 8.0% 4.6%
John Whitehead 11.0% 14.2% 13.8% 14.0% 10.6% 10.4% 10.0% 7.0% 4.9% 2.4% 1.3% 0.4%
Ian Willoughby 9.7% 10.3% 9.4% 12.0% 11.8% 12.0% 11.5% 9.2% 6.1% 5.6% 1.8% 0.6%
David Beaudry 4.7% 6.3% 5.3% 7.4% 8.2% 9.2% 10.8% 11.6% 12.6% 10.7% 8.1% 5.1%
Carrie Marshall 2.7% 2.7% 4.6% 4.5% 4.1% 6.1% 7.3% 9.0% 10.0% 15.2% 17.5% 16.3%
Keara Paquette 1.5% 1.4% 2.2% 3.2% 2.1% 4.7% 6.3% 8.4% 9.7% 14.2% 19.8% 26.5%
Travis Tucker 5.6% 5.9% 7.1% 7.7% 9.5% 10.4% 9.2% 12.5% 13.2% 9.4% 6.8% 2.7%
Graham Shivers 2.5% 2.3% 2.5% 3.4% 5.2% 5.7% 7.1% 10.0% 11.5% 14.5% 16.4% 18.9%
Maggie Royal 1.5% 3.1% 2.6% 2.7% 3.2% 4.1% 6.7% 7.8% 11.0% 14.1% 18.9% 24.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.