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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.46+3.24vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.23+0.76vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.22+1.73vs Predicted
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4Florida State University1.37+2.91vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.27-0.35vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.99-0.70vs Predicted
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7University of Florida1.29-0.02vs Predicted
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8Clemson University0.67+0.50vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina0.31+0.39vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.44-3.36vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.66-2.26vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology0.45-2.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.24Jacksonville University2.460.1%1st Place
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2.76College of Charleston3.230.3%1st Place
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4.73University of Miami2.220.1%1st Place
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6.91Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
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4.65University of South Florida2.270.1%1st Place
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5.3Eckerd College1.990.1%1st Place
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6.98University of Florida1.290.0%1st Place
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8.5Clemson University0.670.0%1st Place
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9.39University of South Carolina0.310.0%1st Place
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6.64North Carolina State University1.440.1%1st Place
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8.74University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.660.0%1st Place
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9.16Georgia Institute of Technology0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Telmo Basterra | 14.7% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Steven Leuck | 30.1% | 24.3% | 17.3% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Turigliatto | 11.7% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Mitchell Powell | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 4.6% |
| John Whitehead | 11.0% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Ian Willoughby | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| David Beaudry | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 5.1% |
| Carrie Marshall | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 15.2% | 17.5% | 16.3% |
| Keara Paquette | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 19.8% | 26.5% |
| Travis Tucker | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 2.7% |
| Graham Shivers | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 18.9% |
| Maggie Royal | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 18.9% | 24.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.