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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University-1.05+3.92vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.02+1.14vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.38+0.97vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.70-0.09vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.03-1.79vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College0.03-2.90vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-1.69-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.92McGill University-1.056.5%1st Place
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3.14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.0221.8%1st Place
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3.97University of New Hampshire-0.3813.4%1st Place
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3.91Bates College-0.7012.7%1st Place
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3.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.0320.2%1st Place
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3.1Middlebury College0.0321.4%1st Place
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5.75Amherst College-1.694.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cecilia Muller | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 26.6% | 22.9% |
| William Delong | 21.8% | 19.3% | 19.6% | 15.7% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 2.5% |
| Sean Lund | 13.4% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 16.9% | 18.4% | 16.2% | 8.7% |
| Colby Green | 12.7% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 16.8% | 18.0% | 15.6% | 7.8% |
| Luke Kenahan | 20.2% | 19.5% | 19.6% | 15.7% | 13.2% | 8.8% | 3.1% |
| Walter Chiles | 21.4% | 21.4% | 18.2% | 16.4% | 12.4% | 7.6% | 2.5% |
| Adrian Whitney | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 16.7% | 52.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.