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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.29+2.00vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine2.22+2.81vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.20+0.16vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.90-0.36vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.42+1.01vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii3.36-3.09vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University0.29+0.26vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.90-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0University of South Florida3.290.2%1st Place
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4.81University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
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3.16College of Charleston3.200.2%1st Place
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3.64Eckerd College2.900.2%1st Place
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6.01University of South Florida1.420.0%1st Place
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2.91University of Hawaii3.360.2%1st Place
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7.26Northwestern University0.290.0%1st Place
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5.22Tulane University1.900.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abby Featherstone | 22.7% | 22.7% | 19.1% | 15.0% | 11.8% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Ashley Hobson | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 18.6% | 20.4% | 18.2% | 4.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 21.0% | 19.4% | 18.3% | 18.4% | 13.2% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Emilie Mademann | 15.6% | 15.0% | 18.1% | 15.6% | 18.3% | 12.0% | 5.0% | 0.4% |
| Casey Bowles-Jenner | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 11.0% | 17.6% | 35.6% | 17.2% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 23.7% | 22.9% | 20.3% | 15.8% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Hughes | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 7.2% | 13.6% | 69.2% |
| Mackenzie Milne | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 24.0% | 20.3% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.