Race 4B

saisa-co-ed-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Telmo Basterra 15.0% 13.8% 13.7% 15.3% 13.1% 11.0% 7.7% 4.9% 3.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.0%
Steven Leuck 29.9% 25.1% 17.7% 11.3% 6.7% 4.8% 3.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Whitehead 13.0% 12.3% 13.1% 12.2% 12.0% 13.6% 9.2% 7.7% 4.4% 1.7% 0.7% 0.1%
Mitchell Powell 4.2% 4.6% 5.9% 8.6% 9.9% 9.1% 11.2% 13.8% 12.6% 9.7% 6.5% 3.9%
Carrie Marshall 2.3% 2.3% 3.7% 3.5% 5.9% 7.1% 7.4% 8.9% 11.6% 15.1% 16.9% 15.3%
Travis Tucker 5.3% 6.5% 6.7% 6.3% 8.7% 9.6% 13.3% 12.7% 10.8% 12.3% 5.5% 2.3%
Ian Willoughby 10.3% 9.6% 11.7% 12.6% 10.6% 11.7% 11.0% 8.6% 7.4% 4.0% 1.5% 1.0%
Keara Paquette 1.2% 2.4% 3.0% 3.7% 4.1% 3.7% 5.0% 9.8% 9.5% 12.8% 21.1% 23.7%
Robert Turigliatto 10.5% 13.4% 14.7% 14.0% 11.5% 12.6% 9.4% 7.0% 3.8% 2.4% 0.7% 0.0%
David Beaudry 4.8% 6.1% 5.6% 6.0% 9.6% 9.7% 10.2% 11.7% 13.8% 10.8% 7.8% 3.9%
Graham Shivers 2.4% 2.3% 2.1% 4.2% 4.9% 5.1% 8.3% 9.3% 12.6% 16.4% 18.9% 13.5%
Cole Woerner 1.1% 1.6% 2.1% 2.3% 3.0% 2.0% 3.7% 5.1% 9.7% 13.4% 19.7% 36.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.