← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Robert Turigliatto 11.5% 10.9% 11.9% 13.4% 12.8% 9.7% 11.1% 8.1% 6.3% 2.6% 1.3% 0.4%
Steven Leuck 30.9% 25.1% 16.1% 11.4% 7.7% 5.1% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Telmo Basterra 14.9% 13.7% 13.5% 13.7% 13.6% 10.9% 8.9% 6.1% 2.0% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1%
John Whitehead 10.5% 13.4% 14.1% 14.1% 12.9% 10.5% 8.7% 6.9% 5.2% 2.3% 1.3% 0.1%
Maggie Royal 1.4% 2.0% 2.8% 3.4% 3.5% 5.5% 5.8% 8.5% 10.0% 12.8% 19.7% 24.6%
Travis Tucker 5.2% 5.7% 7.1% 7.3% 7.2% 10.8% 10.6% 12.4% 13.4% 10.3% 6.3% 3.7%
Graham Shivers 2.3% 3.2% 2.9% 4.2% 5.9% 6.5% 6.5% 8.9% 11.7% 13.7% 17.4% 16.8%
Mitchell Powell 5.8% 5.2% 7.2% 7.5% 7.9% 9.4% 10.4% 12.1% 11.2% 12.1% 7.0% 4.2%
David Beaudry 3.9% 4.3% 6.4% 7.6% 8.2% 10.3% 12.2% 11.1% 12.5% 11.2% 8.4% 3.9%
Keara Paquette 1.6% 2.0% 2.9% 3.2% 3.3% 4.1% 4.7% 7.2% 8.9% 15.5% 17.9% 28.7%
Connor Ratcliff 10.0% 10.7% 12.1% 11.0% 12.5% 12.3% 11.1% 8.6% 6.4% 3.4% 1.5% 0.4%
Carrie Marshall 2.0% 3.8% 3.0% 3.2% 4.5% 4.9% 7.7% 9.2% 12.1% 14.0% 18.5% 17.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.