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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.46+3.26vs Predicted
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2Florida State University1.37+4.86vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.99+2.27vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.27+0.60vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.22-0.25vs Predicted
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6University of Florida1.29+1.09vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.23-4.27vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology0.45+1.00vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina0.31+0.41vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.44-3.33vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.66-2.26vs Predicted
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12Clemson University0.67-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.26Jacksonville University2.460.1%1st Place
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6.86Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
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5.27Eckerd College1.990.1%1st Place
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4.6University of South Florida2.270.1%1st Place
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4.75University of Miami2.220.1%1st Place
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7.09University of Florida1.290.0%1st Place
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2.73College of Charleston3.230.3%1st Place
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9.0Georgia Institute of Technology0.450.0%1st Place
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9.41University of South Carolina0.310.0%1st Place
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6.67North Carolina State University1.440.1%1st Place
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8.74University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.660.0%1st Place
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8.62Clemson University0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Telmo Basterra | 14.4% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Mitchell Powell | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 4.4% |
| Ian Willoughby | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| John Whitehead | 11.2% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Robert Turigliatto | 11.2% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| David Beaudry | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 7.2% | 4.6% |
| Steven Leuck | 32.5% | 22.7% | 16.3% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Royal | 1.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 18.8% | 24.1% |
| Keara Paquette | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 19.6% | 26.7% |
| Travis Tucker | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 3.2% |
| Graham Shivers | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 19.1% | 17.8% |
| Carrie Marshall | 2.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 16.8% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.