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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.16+2.18vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.02+1.52vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.67+1.15vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.29+0.87vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.59-0.71vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15-0.95vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.82-3.12vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.20-0.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.18Tufts University2.160.2%1st Place
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3.52Boston University2.020.2%1st Place
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4.15University of Rhode Island1.670.1%1st Place
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4.87Northeastern University1.290.1%1st Place
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4.29Salve Regina University1.590.1%1st Place
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5.05Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.1%1st Place
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3.88Salve Regina University1.820.2%1st Place
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7.06Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryutaro Sochi | 23.1% | 20.6% | 16.4% | 15.8% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 1.3% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 18.0% | 19.0% | 16.5% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 2.0% |
| Owen Reuther | 12.9% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 9.9% | 4.2% |
| Donal Ryan | 7.9% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 19.7% | 9.3% |
| Joey Lark | 11.9% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 11.7% | 17.1% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 4.7% |
| Braden Foster | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 16.7% | 20.4% | 11.9% |
| Grace Vincens | 16.0% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 16.4% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 8.9% | 3.3% |
| Maeve Glancy | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 16.0% | 63.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.