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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.29+1.97vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.90+3.30vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.20+0.15vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.90-0.38vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii3.36-2.07vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.29+1.26vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine2.22-2.17vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.42-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.97University of South Florida3.290.2%1st Place
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5.3Tulane University1.900.1%1st Place
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3.15College of Charleston3.200.2%1st Place
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3.62Eckerd College2.900.2%1st Place
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2.93University of Hawaii3.360.2%1st Place
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7.26Northwestern University0.290.0%1st Place
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4.83University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
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5.95University of South Florida1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abby Featherstone | 23.8% | 22.7% | 17.5% | 17.0% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Mackenzie Milne | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 15.2% | 21.8% | 25.0% | 8.6% |
| Grace Lucas | 20.9% | 19.2% | 19.0% | 17.9% | 14.0% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Emilie Mademann | 15.2% | 15.3% | 18.5% | 17.1% | 17.4% | 11.5% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 23.4% | 22.3% | 19.6% | 16.1% | 11.8% | 5.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Hughes | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 15.7% | 67.4% |
| Ashley Hobson | 7.4% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 18.1% | 21.4% | 15.8% | 5.8% |
| Casey Bowles-Jenner | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 20.7% | 33.5% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.