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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University-1.05+3.52vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College0.03+0.72vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.02-0.19vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.03-1.15vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.38-1.39vs Predicted
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6Amherst College-1.69-0.64vs Predicted
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7Bates College-2.52-0.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.52McGill University-1.057.3%1st Place
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2.72Middlebury College0.0326.0%1st Place
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2.81University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.0224.2%1st Place
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2.85Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.0323.1%1st Place
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3.61University of New Hampshire-0.3813.7%1st Place
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5.36Amherst College-1.694.2%1st Place
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6.14Bates College-2.521.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cecilia Muller | 7.3% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 24.8% | 23.7% | 9.7% |
| Walter Chiles | 26.0% | 23.2% | 21.6% | 16.4% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| William Delong | 24.2% | 23.2% | 20.5% | 17.2% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 0.6% |
| Luke Kenahan | 23.1% | 23.5% | 20.0% | 17.8% | 10.9% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Sean Lund | 13.7% | 15.4% | 16.8% | 21.1% | 18.9% | 11.3% | 2.8% |
| Adrian Whitney | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 17.0% | 33.7% | 26.3% |
| Mitchel Soederberg | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 9.9% | 19.0% | 59.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.