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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.82+2.80vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.59+2.34vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.16+0.27vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.29+0.87vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.02-1.46vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.67-1.88vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.20+0.05vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.8Salve Regina University1.820.2%1st Place
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4.34Salve Regina University1.590.1%1st Place
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3.27Tufts University2.160.2%1st Place
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4.87Northeastern University1.290.1%1st Place
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3.54Boston University2.020.2%1st Place
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4.12University of Rhode Island1.670.1%1st Place
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7.05Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.200.0%1st Place
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5.01Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Vincens | 15.1% | 16.1% | 16.8% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 2.5% |
| Joey Lark | 12.5% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 17.0% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 4.6% |
| Ryutaro Sochi | 22.5% | 19.4% | 17.0% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Donal Ryan | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 17.6% | 20.1% | 8.5% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 17.4% | 20.3% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 6.8% | 1.9% |
| Owen Reuther | 13.2% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 4.4% |
| Maeve Glancy | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 12.9% | 65.9% |
| Braden Foster | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 21.0% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.