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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.67+3.10vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.82+1.88vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.29+1.84vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15+1.09vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.02-1.47vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.20+1.02vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.16-3.63vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.59-3.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1University of Rhode Island1.670.1%1st Place
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3.88Salve Regina University1.820.2%1st Place
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4.84Northeastern University1.290.1%1st Place
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5.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.1%1st Place
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3.53Boston University2.020.2%1st Place
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7.02Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.200.0%1st Place
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3.37Tufts University2.160.2%1st Place
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4.18Salve Regina University1.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Reuther | 12.8% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 10.4% | 4.5% |
| Grace Vincens | 15.4% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 16.4% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 2.1% |
| Donal Ryan | 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 19.7% | 9.1% |
| Braden Foster | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 16.0% | 22.9% | 11.4% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 17.6% | 20.2% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 2.3% |
| Maeve Glancy | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 15.7% | 62.9% |
| Ryutaro Sochi | 22.2% | 17.6% | 16.9% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Joey Lark | 12.6% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 10.1% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.