← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University2.16+2.21vs Predicted
-
2Salve Regina University1.59+2.30vs Predicted
-
3Salve Regina University1.82+0.90vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15+1.13vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University1.29-0.14vs Predicted
-
6Boston University2.02-2.49vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.20+0.05vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island1.67-3.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.21Tufts University2.160.2%1st Place
-
4.3Salve Regina University1.590.1%1st Place
-
3.9Salve Regina University1.820.1%1st Place
-
5.13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.1%1st Place
-
4.86Northeastern University1.290.1%1st Place
-
3.51Boston University2.020.2%1st Place
-
7.05Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.200.0%1st Place
-
4.04University of Rhode Island1.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryutaro Sochi | 22.7% | 19.5% | 18.2% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Joey Lark | 12.1% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 3.9% |
| Grace Vincens | 14.6% | 15.0% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 8.3% | 3.3% |
| Braden Foster | 7.8% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 17.3% | 22.6% | 11.5% |
| Donal Ryan | 7.1% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 16.8% | 19.8% | 8.4% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 18.8% | 18.4% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 2.0% |
| Maeve Glancy | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 12.8% | 65.9% |
| Owen Reuther | 14.3% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 16.4% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 10.4% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.