← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Salve Regina University1.82+2.52vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island1.67+1.85vs Predicted
-
3Boston University2.02+0.24vs Predicted
-
4Salve Regina University1.59-0.07vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University2.16-1.97vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.20+0.50vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University1.29-2.51vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.21-0.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.52Salve Regina University1.820.2%1st Place
-
3.85University of Rhode Island1.670.1%1st Place
-
3.24Boston University2.020.2%1st Place
-
3.93Salve Regina University1.590.1%1st Place
-
3.03Tufts University2.160.2%1st Place
-
6.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.200.0%1st Place
-
4.49Northeastern University1.290.1%1st Place
-
7.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Vincens | 17.3% | 16.3% | 17.7% | 17.0% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 4.4% | 0.5% |
| Owen Reuther | 13.9% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 17.9% | 17.8% | 14.4% | 6.5% | 0.8% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 20.5% | 19.3% | 17.8% | 16.3% | 13.5% | 9.3% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Joey Lark | 13.1% | 13.6% | 16.5% | 14.5% | 16.6% | 18.6% | 6.1% | 1.0% |
| Ryutaro Sochi | 22.8% | 23.2% | 17.1% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Maeve Glancy | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 12.3% | 45.8% | 24.3% |
| Donal Ryan | 9.9% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 16.5% | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.3% |
| Kevin Collins | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 18.2% | 70.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.