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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College0.03+1.83vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.03+0.87vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.38+0.55vs Predicted
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4McGill University-1.05+0.39vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.02-2.18vs Predicted
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6Amherst College-1.69-0.65vs Predicted
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7Bates College-2.52-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83Middlebury College0.0323.5%1st Place
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2.87Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.0323.6%1st Place
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3.55University of New Hampshire-0.3814.8%1st Place
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4.39McGill University-1.058.3%1st Place
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2.82University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.0224.1%1st Place
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5.35Amherst College-1.694.0%1st Place
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6.19Bates College-2.521.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter Chiles | 23.5% | 22.5% | 22.0% | 16.1% | 11.6% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Luke Kenahan | 23.6% | 22.9% | 18.4% | 18.9% | 11.2% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Sean Lund | 14.8% | 16.0% | 16.9% | 20.1% | 19.1% | 10.2% | 2.9% |
| Cecilia Muller | 8.3% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 24.3% | 21.9% | 8.8% |
| William Delong | 24.1% | 22.6% | 20.8% | 17.5% | 10.4% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Adrian Whitney | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 15.2% | 34.4% | 26.4% |
| Mitchel Soederberg | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 8.1% | 21.7% | 59.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.