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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine2.22+3.69vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.90+1.66vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.20+0.14vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii3.36-1.04vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.90+0.29vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.29-3.00vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.42-0.98vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University0.29-0.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.69University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
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3.66Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
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3.14College of Charleston3.200.2%1st Place
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2.96University of Hawaii3.360.2%1st Place
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5.29Tulane University1.900.0%1st Place
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3.0University of South Florida3.290.2%1st Place
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6.02University of South Florida1.420.0%1st Place
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7.25Northwestern University0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Hobson | 7.3% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 19.1% | 19.3% | 15.4% | 4.4% |
| Emilie Mademann | 15.0% | 16.2% | 16.2% | 18.5% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Grace Lucas | 22.1% | 18.5% | 19.6% | 16.9% | 12.6% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 23.5% | 21.7% | 20.0% | 15.1% | 12.3% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Mackenzie Milne | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 22.8% | 24.0% | 7.7% |
| Abby Featherstone | 23.1% | 21.1% | 20.4% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Casey Bowles-Jenner | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 18.9% | 32.0% | 20.4% |
| Sarah Hughes | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 17.2% | 65.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.