← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Salve Regina University1.59+2.03vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.16+0.32vs Predicted
-
3Salve Regina University1.82-0.29vs Predicted
-
4Boston University2.02-1.51vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.20-0.14vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.21-0.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.03Salve Regina University1.590.2%1st Place
-
2.32Tufts University2.160.3%1st Place
-
2.71Salve Regina University1.820.2%1st Place
-
2.49Boston University2.020.3%1st Place
-
4.86Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.200.0%1st Place
-
5.59Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Lark | 16.6% | 19.7% | 21.4% | 30.1% | 10.7% | 1.5% |
| Ryutaro Sochi | 31.3% | 27.8% | 22.6% | 14.1% | 3.9% | 0.3% |
| Grace Vincens | 23.1% | 20.3% | 26.7% | 23.3% | 5.9% | 0.7% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 26.2% | 27.1% | 22.6% | 19.6% | 4.2% | 0.3% |
| Maeve Glancy | 2.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 9.5% | 52.5% | 26.4% |
| Kevin Collins | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 22.8% | 70.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.