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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.57+2.92vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.73+1.73vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.63+0.89vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.10+0.84vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.94-1.65vs Predicted
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6Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24+0.80vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.02-3.73vs Predicted
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8Yale University0.23-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.92Tufts University1.570.1%1st Place
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3.73Brown University1.730.2%1st Place
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3.89Northeastern University1.630.2%1st Place
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4.84Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
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3.35University of Rhode Island1.940.2%1st Place
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6.8Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
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3.27University of Rhode Island2.020.2%1st Place
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6.2Yale University0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Savage | 13.0% | 15.6% | 15.9% | 16.4% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 3.4% |
| Zachary Jordan | 15.8% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 6.8% | 1.7% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 15.4% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 16.3% | 13.6% | 7.7% | 2.6% |
| Lucie Ford | 9.0% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 19.2% | 16.9% | 8.8% |
| Matthew Schryver | 19.1% | 20.8% | 16.9% | 15.1% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 21.7% | 51.7% |
| Kylie Castellano | 22.4% | 18.7% | 17.2% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Adam Wolnikowski | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 14.3% | 30.2% | 28.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.