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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.94+2.25vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.10+2.88vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.63+0.90vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.02-0.77vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.73-1.30vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.57-2.04vs Predicted
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7Yale University0.23-0.72vs Predicted
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8Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.25University of Rhode Island1.940.2%1st Place
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4.88Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
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3.9Northeastern University1.630.1%1st Place
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3.23University of Rhode Island2.020.2%1st Place
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3.7Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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3.96Tufts University1.570.1%1st Place
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6.28Yale University0.230.0%1st Place
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6.8Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Schryver | 22.0% | 18.1% | 17.9% | 15.5% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Lucie Ford | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 16.3% | 19.5% | 16.5% | 8.7% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 14.7% | 13.4% | 15.9% | 16.9% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 8.3% | 2.2% |
| Kylie Castellano | 20.3% | 22.9% | 14.4% | 16.3% | 13.2% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Zachary Jordan | 14.4% | 18.0% | 18.2% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 6.2% | 1.6% |
| Andrew Savage | 14.4% | 13.0% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 16.5% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 3.2% |
| Adam Wolnikowski | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 29.7% | 33.0% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 10.7% | 23.4% | 49.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.