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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.94+2.25vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.73+1.72vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.63+0.91vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.02-0.77vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.57-0.99vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.10-1.20vs Predicted
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7Yale University0.23-0.71vs Predicted
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8Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.25University of Rhode Island1.940.2%1st Place
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3.72Brown University1.730.2%1st Place
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3.91Northeastern University1.630.1%1st Place
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3.23University of Rhode Island2.020.2%1st Place
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4.01Tufts University1.570.1%1st Place
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4.8Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
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6.29Yale University0.230.0%1st Place
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6.8Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Schryver | 22.0% | 18.1% | 17.6% | 16.4% | 13.2% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Zachary Jordan | 16.1% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 16.4% | 15.8% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 2.0% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 14.5% | 14.0% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 8.1% | 2.8% |
| Kylie Castellano | 21.2% | 21.6% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Savage | 11.6% | 15.1% | 16.6% | 15.5% | 13.1% | 17.2% | 8.7% | 2.2% |
| Lucie Ford | 8.8% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 16.0% | 18.2% | 16.3% | 8.3% |
| Adam Wolnikowski | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 13.4% | 27.9% | 33.8% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 11.1% | 23.7% | 49.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.