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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.36+1.84vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.90+1.58vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine2.22+1.65vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.20-0.87vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.90+0.12vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.29-3.03vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.87-0.42vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University0.29-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84University of Hawaii3.360.3%1st Place
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3.58Eckerd College2.900.2%1st Place
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4.65University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
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3.13College of Charleston3.200.2%1st Place
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5.12Tulane University1.900.1%1st Place
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2.97University of South Florida3.290.2%1st Place
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6.58University of South Florida0.870.0%1st Place
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7.12Northwestern University0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 25.3% | 22.3% | 19.8% | 16.0% | 10.2% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Emilie Mademann | 15.4% | 15.1% | 18.2% | 20.0% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Ashley Hobson | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 20.0% | 24.3% | 12.1% | 3.5% |
| Grace Lucas | 20.5% | 20.9% | 18.4% | 17.1% | 14.3% | 6.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Mackenzie Milne | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 17.5% | 26.2% | 19.3% | 5.6% |
| Abby Featherstone | 22.6% | 20.8% | 20.9% | 17.3% | 11.0% | 6.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Kirsten Hunt | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 34.8% | 34.0% |
| Sarah Hughes | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 7.6% | 25.5% | 55.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.