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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.02+2.13vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College0.03+1.10vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.70+0.94vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.03-0.75vs Predicted
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5McGill University-1.05-0.13vs Predicted
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6Amherst College-1.69-0.20vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.38-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.0222.2%1st Place
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3.1Middlebury College0.0321.1%1st Place
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3.94Bates College-0.7012.7%1st Place
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3.25Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.0320.1%1st Place
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4.87McGill University-1.057.4%1st Place
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5.8Amherst College-1.693.5%1st Place
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3.89University of New Hampshire-0.3813.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Delong | 22.2% | 20.9% | 17.2% | 15.5% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 3.2% |
| Walter Chiles | 21.1% | 21.0% | 19.7% | 16.0% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 2.8% |
| Colby Green | 12.7% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 17.3% | 17.5% | 16.2% | 8.2% |
| Luke Kenahan | 20.1% | 18.6% | 18.2% | 16.8% | 14.6% | 9.3% | 2.5% |
| Cecilia Muller | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 16.4% | 23.6% | 24.0% |
| Adrian Whitney | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 19.5% | 51.3% |
| Sean Lund | 13.2% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 17.4% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.