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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.02+2.15vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.63+1.92vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.94+0.38vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.10+0.85vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.73-1.21vs Predicted
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6Yale University0.23+0.18vs Predicted
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7Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24-0.19vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.57-4.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.15University of Rhode Island2.020.2%1st Place
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3.92Northeastern University1.630.1%1st Place
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3.38University of Rhode Island1.940.2%1st Place
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4.85Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
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3.79Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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6.18Yale University0.230.0%1st Place
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6.81Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
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3.91Tufts University1.570.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylie Castellano | 22.2% | 21.2% | 18.3% | 14.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 13.9% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 15.3% | 16.5% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 1.8% |
| Matthew Schryver | 19.7% | 17.5% | 18.4% | 16.5% | 13.1% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Lucie Ford | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 15.4% | 19.7% | 17.9% | 7.8% |
| Zachary Jordan | 14.2% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 15.5% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 2.1% |
| Adam Wolnikowski | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 16.4% | 25.7% | 30.3% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 8.6% | 22.3% | 52.2% |
| Andrew Savage | 13.9% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 15.5% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.